Wednesday, October 16, 2019

Trump is on his way to an easy win in 2020, according to Moody’s accurate election model, but there is more to the story

  • *President Donald Trump will win reelection easily in 2020 if the economy holds up, modeling by Moody’s Analytics shows.
  • *“If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report states.
  • *Three models show Trump getting at least 289 electoral votes and as many as 351, assuming average turnout.
  • *The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would get a narrow victory.
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/15/moodys-trump-on-his-way-to-an-easy-2020-win-if-economy-holds-up.html

This is what the article leaves out.  When Trump wins the popular vote he will get all the Electoral College votes from the green states listed below.  It is going to be absolutely hilarious watching CNN et al., on election night.  How the hell are they going to spin the fact that Trump got the most electoral votes of any president ever!  He may end up getting all 538!  Bwahahahahahahahaha!
National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
Status as of July 2019:
NPVIC cartogram base.svg
MD green.svg
NJ green.svg
IL green.svg
HI green.svg
WA green.svg
MA green.svg
DC green.svg
VT green.svg
CA green.svg
RI green.svg
NY green.svg
CT green.svg
CO green.svg
DE green.svg
NM green.svg
OR green.svg
GA yellow.svg
KS yellow.svg
MN yellow.svg
NC yellow.svg
NH yellow.svg
PA yellow.svg
SC yellow.svg
WI yellow.svg
NPVIC top.svg
0
270
538
Each square in the cartogram represents one electoral vote.
  •   Enacted – 196 EVs (36.4% of Electoral College)
  •   Legislation pending – 90 EVs (16.7%)
  •   Neither enacted nor pending – 252 EVs (46.8%)[1]
  • | Threshold for coming into force – 270 EVs (>50%)

DraftedFebruary 2006
EffectiveNot in effect
ConditionAdoption by states (including the District of Columbia) whose collective electoral votes represent a majority in the Electoral College. Note: The agreement would be in effect only among the assenting political entities.
Signatories





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